Independiente del Valle vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 1
IVT
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 1
OLM
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 3
IVT
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
IVT
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
IVT
3 - 0
CUE
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 1
IVT
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
TRU
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 2
TRU
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 0
TRU
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |