Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 1
IVT
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 1
AUC
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
4 - 0
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 2
IVT
39%
29%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
MUS
0 - 1
TEC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
EME
1 - 0
MUS
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 1
MUS
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MUS
1 - 1
UCE
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
CUE
1 - 0
MUS
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |