Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 1
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 0
IVT
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
IVT
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
4 - 0
ORE
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 2
IVT
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 2
MUS
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 3
AUC
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 0
DEL
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 0
MUS
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LDU
0 - 0
MUS
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |