Primera A 1 Phase Copa Pilsener round 4

Independiente del Valle vs CS Emelec analysis

Independiente del Valle CS Emelec
78 ELO 81
1.5% Tilt 8%
649º General ELO ranking 733º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
43.9%
Independiente del Valle
26.9%
Draw
29.2%
CS Emelec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
Independiente del Valle
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.2%
Win probability
CS Emelec
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independiente del Valle
+13%
-8%
CS Emelec

ELO progression

Independiente del Valle
CS Emelec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2014
UCE
Universidad Católica
4 - 3
Independiente del Valle
IVT
50%
24%
26%
78 77 1 0
30 Jan. 2014
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
1 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
31%
27%
43%
78 73 5 0
25 Jan. 2014
IVT
Independiente del Valle
2 - 0
Dep. Quito
QUI
48%
26%
27%
78 78 0 0
07 Dec. 2013
IVT
Independiente del Valle
1 - 1
Manta
MAN
61%
22%
17%
79 72 7 -1
01 Dec. 2013
LOJ
LDU Loja
2 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
39%
26%
35%
79 76 3 0

Matches

CS Emelec
CS Emelec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
57%
24%
19%
81 73 8 0
26 Jan. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
71%
18%
12%
81 69 12 0
18 Jan. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 2
Danubio
DAN
65%
21%
14%
81 72 9 0
15 Jan. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 3
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
44%
27%
29%
81 83 2 0
08 Dec. 2013
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 1
Deportivo Quevedo
DEP
65%
22%
14%
81 67 14 0