CSD Arzua vs UD Paiosaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 1
ARZ
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ARZ
1 - 2
LEM
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARZ
0 - 2
ORD
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SIG
3 - 0
ARZ
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POL
2 - 1
ARZ
71%
17%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Paiosaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
UPH
3 - 0
ORD
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SIG
2 - 1
UPH
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
UPH
4 - 0
AES
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
POL
3 - 2
UPH
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NEG
1 - 0
UPH
60%
21%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |