CSD Arzua vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
15º
45
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARZ
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ART
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
SIL
3 - 0
ARZ
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIV
2 - 0
ARZ
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UDO
1 - 1
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 0
UDO
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
UDO
2 - 2
DEP
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UPH
0 - 0
UDO
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDO
2 - 2
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |