Grecia vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
ROC
3 - 0
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 3
AUD
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
IMB
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
DPT
2 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 1
AUD
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
UTE
0 - 1
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
IMB
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DPT
1 - 0
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 0
LDU
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |