CSA vs União Futebol Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CSA
3 - 1
CSE
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
CSA
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ATA
2 - 0
CSA
36%
26%
37%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CSA
1 - 3
CEO
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CEO
1 - 2
CSA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
União Futebol Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
CDV
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
ATA
1 - 0
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
COR
14%
20%
67%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +4 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
6 - 0
UNI
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 1
MUR
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |