CSA vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSA
4 - 0
IPA
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
CSA
29%
30%
41%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 2
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
ASA
11%
21%
68%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
CSA
29%
30%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CSE
4 - 1
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 2
CRB
14%
23%
63%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |