CSA vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
CSA
3 - 1
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CSA
2 - 0
NAU
33%
30%
38%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAO
22%
25%
52%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 0
CSA
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
59%
25%
17%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
XVD
0 - 0
SAN
25%
28%
46%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
5 - 1
CRB
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SAN
6 - 0
TRE
85%
11%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |