CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
SPO
3 - 1
CSA
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
CSA
1 - 0
BAH
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
COM
0 - 3
CSA
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CSA
1 - 1
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
CSA
0 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
ATP
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
COM
0 - 1
NAU
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1986 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |