CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
38%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
CSA
0 - 1
SAN
40%
30%
31%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
CSA
1 - 0
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 1
CSA
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
CSA
0 - 0
POR
36%
31%
33%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
CSA
1 - 0
GOI
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
NAU
1 - 0
ARN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
NAU
1 - 2
POR
55%
26%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAU
47%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAU
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |