CSA vs Leônico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
CSA
0 - 0
AME
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
USC
1 - 0
CSA
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
CSA
1 - 0
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
CSA
3 - 1
ABC
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
ITA
2 - 1
CSA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Leônico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 1
USC
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
DBO
2 - 1
ADL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1979 |
ADL
2 - 2
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 0
ITA
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 0
FER
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |