CSA vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
CSA
29%
30%
41%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 2
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 1
ASA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CSE
1 - 1
CSA
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 2
ASA
13%
22%
65%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
IPA
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
IPA
1 - 0
CRB
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CSE
2 - 0
IPA
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |