CSA vs Igaci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SER
2 - 3
CSA
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSA
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 1
COR
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 1
COR
28%
25%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 2
CAP
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Igaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
IGA
2 - 4
CRB
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CSE
0 - 0
IGA
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 1
IGA
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
IGA
0 - 2
ASA
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CRB
1 - 1
IGA
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |