CSA vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CSA
4 - 1
SDJ
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CSA
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 0
CSA
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLU
30%
29%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 2
BAH
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 0
POR
34%
27%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAH
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |