CSA vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 0
OPE
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AMF
2 - 0
CSA
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 0
CHA
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CHA
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPO
34%
31%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
30%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |