Série D Brazil Round 3

CSA vs Central SC analysis

CSA Central SC
53 ELO 44
4.5% Tilt -20.3%
991º General ELO ranking 5182º
48º Country ELO ranking 180º
ELO win probability
71.7%
CSA
17.8%
Draw
10.5%
Central SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
CSA
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.5%
Win probability
Central SC
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

CSA
Central SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2016
CSA
CSA
6 - 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
GUA
70%
19%
11%
52 46 6 0
12 Jun. 2016
PAR
Parnahyba
2 - 1
CSA
CSA
27%
28%
44%
54 45 9 -2
08 May. 2016
CSA
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
CRB
31%
26%
44%
55 63 8 -1
01 May. 2016
CRB
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
CSA
62%
22%
16%
56 62 6 -1
24 Apr. 2016
CSA
CSA
2 - 1
Murici
MUR
63%
21%
16%
56 48 8 0

Matches

Central SC
Central SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2016
CEN
Central SC
1 - 0
Parnahyba
PAR
39%
26%
35%
45 46 1 0
12 Jun. 2016
GUA
Guarani de Juazeiro
0 - 1
Central SC
CEN
50%
26%
24%
44 47 3 +1
10 Apr. 2016
CEN
Central SC
2 - 1
América PE
AME
50%
27%
23%
45 41 4 -1
03 Apr. 2016
NAU
Náutico
3 - 0
Central SC
CEN
79%
15%
6%
45 67 22 0
20 Mar. 2016
CEN
Central SC
0 - 0
Salgueiro
SAL
18%
26%
57%
45 59 14 0