Liga do Nordeste Normal Season Round 11

CSA vs Ceará analysis

CSA Ceará
50 ELO 72
4% Tilt -16.5%
1175º General ELO ranking 124º
50º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.3%
CSA
23.3%
Draw
57.4%
Ceará

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
CSA
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.4%
Win probability
Ceará
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CSA
-2%
-6%
Ceará

ELO progression

CSA
Ceará
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2010
CSA
CSA
3 - 1
Confiança
CON
51%
24%
25%
48 48 0 0
18 Jul. 2010
SAN
Santa Cruz
0 - 1
CSA
CSA
68%
20%
12%
48 54 6 0
15 Jul. 2010
SER
Sergipe
1 - 0
CSA
CSA
40%
26%
33%
50 42 8 -2
08 Jul. 2010
CSA
CSA
4 - 1
Vitória
VIT
16%
23%
61%
48 77 29 +2
04 Jul. 2010
ARN
América RN
1 - 2
CSA
CSA
72%
17%
11%
46 58 12 +2

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2010
CEA
Ceará
0 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
24%
27%
49%
72 83 11 0
23 Jul. 2010
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 1
Ceará
CEA
35%
28%
37%
73 65 8 -1
18 Jul. 2010
SCI
Internacional
2 - 1
Ceará
CEA
70%
19%
11%
73 85 12 0
15 Jul. 2010
CEA
Ceará
0 - 0
Corinthians
COR
24%
27%
50%
73 86 13 0
10 Jul. 2010
CEA
Ceará
2 - 3
Botafogo PB
BOT
69%
20%
11%
73 51 22 0