CSA vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1978 |
CSA
2 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
CSA
1 - 2
PPE
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
SER
1 - 2
CSA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 1
CSA
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
CSA
1 - 3
CRB
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1978 |
CON
0 - 1
BOT
17%
23%
61%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 3
BOT
38%
29%
33%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
49%
27%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
PPE
0 - 1
BOT
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VOL
0 - 1
BOT
16%
22%
61%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |