CSA vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
CSA
3 - 2
TRE
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
CSA
2 - 1
BOT
20%
28%
52%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CSA
1 - 1
BAH
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 1
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
0 - 0
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |