CSA vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CSA
0 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
CSA
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 3
CSA
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CSA
2 - 0
BRA
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
COT
1 - 1
CSA
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
FOR
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
AVA
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 1
LON
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GOI
0 - 3
AVA
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 1
OES
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |