Utchim Gaesti vs Dunărea Călăraşi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utchim Gaesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 1
CUG
71%
19%
10%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CUG
2 - 2
EFO
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 5
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
EFO
0 - 0
DUN
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 1
CSO
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
FAC
0 - 2
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |