Europa Conference League qualifiers Third Round Final

Universitatea Craiova vs Spartak Trnava analysis

Universitatea Craiova Spartak Trnava
79 ELO 77
4.5% Tilt 3%
789º General ELO ranking 821º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.9%
Universitatea Craiova
23.8%
Draw
26.3%
Spartak Trnava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
Universitatea Craiova
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.3%
Win probability
Spartak Trnava
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Universitatea Craiova
Spartak Trnava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2025
CLU
CFR Cluj
2 - 3
Universitatea Craiova
CSU
42%
27%
31%
78 78 0 0
31 Jul. 2025
CSU
Universitatea Craiova
4 - 0
Sarajevo
SAR
48%
24%
28%
78 77 1 0
28 Jul. 2025
CSU
Universitatea Craiova
2 - 1
Universitatea Cluj
UCL
45%
26%
29%
78 78 0 0
24 Jul. 2025
SAR
Sarajevo
2 - 1
Universitatea Craiova
CSU
43%
25%
32%
78 77 1 0
18 Jul. 2025
CSU
Universitatea Craiova
3 - 1
Argeș Pitești
SCM
53%
26%
21%
78 76 2 0

Matches

Spartak Trnava
Spartak Trnava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2025
TRE
Trenčín
0 - 1
Spartak Trnava
TNV
47%
26%
27%
78 78 0 0
31 Jul. 2025
TNV
Spartak Trnava
5 - 1
Hibernians
HIB
52%
24%
25%
78 70 8 0
27 Jul. 2025
TNV
Spartak Trnava
3 - 0
Ruzomberok
RUZ
38%
27%
35%
78 78 0 0
24 Jul. 2025
HIB
Hibernians
1 - 2
Spartak Trnava
TNV
32%
25%
43%
77 71 6 +1
17 Jul. 2025
HÄC
Häcken
2 - 2
Spartak Trnava
TNV
69%
17%
14%
77 81 4 0