CD San Fernando vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
ALM
1 - 1
SFE
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
SFE
0 - 0
CPC
73%
18%
8%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
MER
0 - 2
SFE
45%
30%
25%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
SFE
1 - 0
ALM
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
ALB
3 - 0
SFE
34%
33%
33%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SPO
2 - 0
PON
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
VAD
1 - 1
SPO
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
SPO
4 - 0
LEV
82%
12%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCB
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
ATH
2 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |