CD San Fernando vs Montilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CCF
2 - 0
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SFE
0 - 2
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 2
SFE
39%
27%
33%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SFE
1 - 0
AGU
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SOL
1 - 0
SFE
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
JER
33%
28%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CCF
3 - 2
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MON
2 - 3
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
MON
31%
29%
40%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
BAL
39%
28%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |