CD San Fernando vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
MAI
4 - 6
SFE
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
SFE
4 - 2
LUC
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1997 |
BAL
2 - 0
SFE
55%
25%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
ICR
2 - 1
SFE
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
SFE
2 - 1
CAD
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1997 |
MON
1 - 1
CAD
46%
27%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
UDR
0 - 2
MON
22%
27%
51%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
AFC
2 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
MON
0 - 2
PAL
43%
29%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
CON
0 - 2
MON
27%
28%
45%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |