CD San Fernando vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 1
SFE
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
SFE
2 - 1
CCF
71%
18%
10%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
UTR
1 - 0
SFE
15%
24%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SFE
1 - 0
POR
70%
18%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
SFE
3 - 1
BAR
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 1
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
POZ
2 - 1
LUC
32%
29%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
COR
38%
32%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
PAL
0 - 1
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
LUC
1 - 0
LAP
54%
27%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |