CD San Fernando vs A. Cerro Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 0
ARC
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
CAD
0 - 3
SFE
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ANT
1 - 1
SFE
35%
26%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SFE
0 - 0
BAL
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SOL
0 - 2
CAD
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 3
SOL
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SOL
2 - 0
ANT
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 2
SOL
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SOL
1 - 1
POZ
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |