Liga III Round 8

Ocna Mureș vs Unirea Ungheni analysis

Ocna Mureș Unirea Ungheni
28 ELO 37
7.1% Tilt -0.6%
13286º General ELO ranking 3533º
144º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
29.5%
Ocna Mureș
21%
Draw
49.6%
Unirea Ungheni

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
Ocna Mureș
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
49.6%
Win probability
Unirea Ungheni
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ocna Mureș
-8%
+37%
Unirea Ungheni

Points and table prediction

Ocna Mureș
Their league position
Unirea Ungheni
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
10º
32
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Corvinul Hunedoara
52
52
100%
Unirea Ungheni
32
32
100%
Metalurgistul Cugir
31
31
100%
Unirea Alba Iulia
30
30
100%
ACS Târgu Mures
24
24
0%
Avântul Reghin
24
24
0%
Universitatea Alba Iulia
21
21
100%
Viitorul Cluj
16
16
100%
Sănătatea Cluj
14
14
100%
Ocna Mureș
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ocna Mureș
Unirea Ungheni
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Ocna Mureș
Unirea Ungheni
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ocna Mureș
Ocna Mureș
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
FCU
Unirea Alba Iulia
3 - 2
Ocna Mureș
CSO
25%
22%
54%
30 22 8 0
01 Oct. 2022
CSO
Ocna Mureș
0 - 0
Sănătatea Cluj
SNT
56%
19%
25%
30 26 4 0
28 Sep. 2022
CSO
Ocna Mureș
3 - 0
CSM Slatina
CSS
9%
15%
77%
28 54 26 +2
23 Sep. 2022
MET
Metalurgistul Cugir
4 - 3
Ocna Mureș
CSO
68%
17%
15%
28 36 8 0
17 Sep. 2022
CSO
Ocna Mureș
4 - 3
Avântul Reghin
AVA
45%
21%
34%
28 30 2 0

Matches

Unirea Ungheni
Unirea Ungheni
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
UNI
Unirea Ungheni
1 - 0
Universitatea Alba Iulia
UAI
60%
19%
21%
36 31 5 0
01 Oct. 2022
HUN
Corvinul Hunedoara
1 - 0
Unirea Ungheni
UNI
76%
15%
9%
36 50 14 0
23 Sep. 2022
UNI
Unirea Ungheni
0 - 1
ACS Târgu Mures
ACS
67%
17%
16%
37 30 7 -1
17 Sep. 2022
VII
Viitorul Cluj
0 - 2
Unirea Ungheni
UNI
29%
21%
49%
36 30 6 +1
14 Sep. 2022
CSO
Ocna Mureș
1 - 1
Unirea Ungheni
UNI
23%
23%
55%
37 27 10 -1