El Porvenir Mendoza vs Deportivo Malargüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
CSE
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
CSE
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CSE
1 - 2
SMA
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AGA
0 - 3
CSE
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
CSE
0 - 0
PAC
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Malargüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 0
CSD
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SBF
0 - 3
CDM
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ICL
3 - 2
CDM
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 0
CSD
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 1
SBF
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |