Sportivo Desamparados vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 2
DES
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 2
DES
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
DES
1 - 1
SPE
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LCY
0 - 0
DES
38%
24%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
DES
1 - 0
ACJ
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 2
IND
32%
23%
44%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
IND
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
LCY
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ACJ
0 - 3
IND
23%
23%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |