Sportivo Desamparados vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 2
DES
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 1
CIP
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 2
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RAO
4 - 3
DES
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
DES
5 - 1
RIV
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 0
GIM
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 2
DFR
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 1
RIV
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 0
DFR
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
44%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |