Capelense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1990 |
CAP
0 - 4
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
13 | 78 | 65 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
FLA
5 - 1
CAP
86%
11%
3%
|
14 | 78 | 64 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 0
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
SER
1 - 0
CSA
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 3
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 0
CSA
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 2
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |