Cacahuatique vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
8º
2º
15
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 1
CDC
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 66 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
ONC
18%
23%
59%
|
14 | 69 | 55 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 3
CDC
69%
19%
11%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | +3 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
ALI
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
JOC
2 - 0
CDC
84%
12%
5%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | -1 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
MUN
21%
26%
53%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 2
FUE
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | +3 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 2
FAS
19%
26%
55%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
FUE
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 3
MET
21%
27%
53%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |