Cacahuatique vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
6º
6º
39
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 2
CDC
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
CDD
1 - 2
CDC
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CDP
2 - 0
CDC
58%
23%
18%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 2
MUN
27%
29%
45%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ONC
0 - 0
CDC
54%
26%
21%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FIR
2 - 2
MUN
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
ONC
1 - 3
FIR
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
FIR
0 - 0
MET
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 1
FIR
21%
24%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FIR
0 - 0
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |