Crystal Palace vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
CRY
3 - 1
WOL
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
NTT
2 - 2
CRY
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
CRY
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CRY
1 - 1
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
CRY
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
MAC
3 - 0
STO
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
STO
3 - 3
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
STO
3 - 1
LIV
32%
27%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TOT
0 - 0
STO
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |