Championship Round 23

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest analysis

Crystal Palace Nottingham Forest
66 ELO 67
-4.5% Tilt 6.7%
52º General ELO ranking 85º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
46.3%
Crystal Palace
25.9%
Draw
27.7%
Nottingham Forest

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
Crystal Palace
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crystal Palace
+5%
+1%
Nottingham Forest

ELO progression

Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2003
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
46%
26%
28%
66 68 2 0
06 Dec. 2003
PNE
Preston North End
4 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
52%
24%
24%
67 68 1 -1
03 Dec. 2003
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
67%
21%
12%
68 83 15 -1
29 Nov. 2003
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Coventry City
COV
54%
24%
22%
68 64 4 0
25 Nov. 2003
STO
Stoke City
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
35%
26%
38%
68 62 6 0

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2003
WAT
Watford
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
46%
26%
28%
68 65 3 0
03 Dec. 2003
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
33%
25%
42%
68 77 9 0
29 Nov. 2003
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 3
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
42%
27%
31%
68 76 8 0
22 Nov. 2003
WIG
Wigan Athletic
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
56%
25%
19%
68 75 7 0
08 Nov. 2003
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Watford
WAT
59%
22%
19%
68 65 3 0