Crystal Palace vs Nelson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
BPO
2 - 0
CRY
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1923 |
CRY
3 - 1
BPO
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1923 |
FUL
1 - 0
CRY
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1923 |
CRY
1 - 1
FUL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1923 |
CRY
1 - 1
LEE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
NEL
2 - 0
STO
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1923 |
STO
4 - 0
NEL
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1923 |
NEL
1 - 1
HUL
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1923 |
NEL
0 - 0
SOU
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1923 |
HUL
2 - 1
NEL
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |