Premier League round 23

Crystal Palace vs Burnley analysis

Crystal Palace Burnley
81 ELO 83
-4.2% Tilt -3.9%
69º General ELO ranking 171º
10º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
38.6%
Crystal Palace
26.5%
Draw
34.9%
Burnley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
Crystal Palace
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.9%
Win probability
Burnley
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crystal Palace
+16%
+8%
Burnley

ELO progression

Crystal Palace
Burnley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2018
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
46%
26%
28%
81 80 1 0
02 Jan. 2018
SOU
Southampton
1 - 2
Crystal Palace
CRY
60%
23%
18%
80 85 5 +1
31 Dec. 2017
CRY
Crystal Palace
0 - 0
Manchester City
MAC
11%
18%
71%
80 91 11 0
28 Dec. 2017
CRY
Crystal Palace
2 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
19%
22%
60%
80 88 8 0
23 Dec. 2017
SWA
Swansea City
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
47%
26%
27%
80 81 1 0

Matches

Burnley
Burnley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2018
MAC
Manchester City
4 - 1
Burnley
BUR
80%
14%
6%
84 91 7 0
01 Jan. 2018
BUR
Burnley
1 - 2
Liverpool
LIV
16%
21%
63%
84 89 5 0
30 Dec. 2017
HUR
Huddersfield Town
0 - 0
Burnley
BUR
27%
27%
47%
84 73 11 0
26 Dec. 2017
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 2
Burnley
BUR
65%
22%
13%
84 89 5 0
23 Dec. 2017
BUR
Burnley
0 - 3
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
27%
25%
48%
84 87 3 0