Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 2-4
Crvena Zvezda vs Slavia Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CRV
1 - 0
RAD
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SLP
3 - 0
CRV
51%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 3
CRV
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
CRV
5 - 2
DTB
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
DTB
2 - 0
CRV
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Slavia Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TEP
1 - 1
SLP
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SLP
3 - 0
CRV
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ESK
0 - 1
SLP
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SLP
3 - 1
BOH
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
SLP
1 - 1
SHF
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |