Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 2
CRV
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CRV
2 - 1
JAV
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CRV
2 - 1
VOJ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
CRV
1 - 3
VOJ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BEO
1 - 2
CRV
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 3
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 1
JAG
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NAP
0 - 0
JAV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VOJ
3 - 1
NAP
69%
21%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAP
3 - 0
BEO
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |