Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
BOR
1 - 3
CRV
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1996 |
KAI
1 - 0
CRV
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CRV
0 - 0
ZEM
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
BUD
1 - 3
CRV
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
CRV
3 - 1
ZRE
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
PAR
2 - 1
RAD
53%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
MLA
0 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
PAR
6 - 0
FKB
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
VOJ
1 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAR
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |