Europa League Group F Round 1

Crvena Zvezda vs Bayern München analysis

Crvena Zvezda Bayern München
83 ELO 90
11% Tilt -5.6%
453º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27%
Crvena Zvezda
24.8%
Draw
48.2%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
Crvena Zvezda
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.2%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crvena Zvezda
+26%
-2%
Bayern München

ELO progression

Crvena Zvezda
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2007
BEO
OFK Beograd
0 - 2
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
44%
26%
31%
83 79 4 0
07 Oct. 2007
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
2 - 0
Banat Zrenjanin
BZR
79%
13%
8%
83 71 12 0
04 Oct. 2007
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
1 - 0
Dyskobolia Grodzisk
DYS
64%
20%
16%
83 79 4 0
29 Sep. 2007
PAR
Partizan Belgrade
2 - 2
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
56%
23%
21%
83 83 0 0
26 Sep. 2007
TEL
Teleoptik
1 - 2
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
11%
21%
69%
82 38 44 +1

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2007
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
21%
24%
55%
90 80 10 0
07 Oct. 2007
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
69%
19%
12%
90 81 9 0
04 Oct. 2007
BEL
Os Belenenses
0 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
15%
22%
63%
91 75 16 -1
29 Sep. 2007
LEV
B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
30%
25%
46%
91 85 6 0
26 Sep. 2007
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 0
Energie Cottbus
COT
75%
17%
8%
90 73 17 +1