Qualif. Champions . Final
Global 5-1
Crvena Zvezda vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
POR
0 - 4
CRV
8%
18%
74%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1991 |
CRV
4 - 0
POR
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1991 |
CRV
0 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
CRV
2 - 2
BYM
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1991 |
BYM
1 - 2
CRV
63%
22%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
APO
3 - 0
FCU
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
OMO
4 - 0
APO
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
FCU
2 - 0
APO
74%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
ZAR
1 - 1
APO
94%
4%
2%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
APO
0 - 3
ZAR
3%
26%
72%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |