Cruzeiro RS vs AE Garibaldi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SAP
0 - 0
CRU
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
CRU
0 - 0
GLO
27%
26%
48%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CRU
3 - 1
BRA
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
AIM
0 - 0
CRU
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 0
CRU
63%
20%
16%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
0 - 1
LAJ
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
0 - 3
AIM
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
AEG
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
AEG
2 - 2
GUA
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
AEG
0 - 1
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |