Copa do Brasil . Final
Global 3-1
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 1
CRZ
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 1
PAL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 0
CRZ
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COR
0 - 3
FLA
43%
28%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 0
COR
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
SCI
50%
27%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |