Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
13%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
LON
1 - 2
CRZ
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
TOM
64%
24%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRZ
27%
29%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BAH
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
CHA
58%
25%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |