Cruz Azul vs Correcaminos UAT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
NEC
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MER
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
IRA
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
UAT
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 2
DOR
51%
23%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 1
REB
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAT
41%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |