Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 3-9
Crusaders vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 0
CLI
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 1
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
VKG
0 - 0
RBK
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
RBK
1 - 0
STR
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
RBK
2 - 1
TRO
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
LEV
1 - 4
RBK
10%
16%
75%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
VIF
1 - 2
RBK
27%
24%
50%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |